Exort Fiesta Series 1 · BO3
pre-match predictionseries probability
42%58%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Black Phoenix#94 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLavked pick
41%47%
Lavked · 25 mapsedge Black Phoenix +6%Black Phoenix · 11 maps
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
50%67%
Lavked · 14 mapsedge Black Phoenix +17%Black Phoenix · 17 maps
Nukepossible decider
33%42%
Lavked · 11 mapsedge Black Phoenix +9%Black Phoenix · 8 maps
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
64%22%
Lavked · 10 mapsedge Lavked +42%Black Phoenix · 5 maps
AncientBlack Phoenix ban
47%50%
Lavked · 11 mapsnearly even -3%Black Phoenix · 0 maps
InfernoLavked ban
43%58%
Lavked · 3 mapsedge Black Phoenix +15%Black Phoenix · 8 maps
CacheLavked ban
40%60%
Lavked · 1 mapedge Black Phoenix +20%Black Phoenix · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Inferno
2. BanBlack Phoenix remove Ancient
3. PickLavked take Mirage
4. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
5. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
6. BanLavked remove Cache
DeciderNuke (33% / 42%)