CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Keyd Stars#155 in the world · win 2:1series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:1
paiN Academy#286 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Keyd Stars pick
60%36%
Keyd Stars · 11 mapsedge Keyd Stars +24%paiN Academy · 7 maps
MiragepaiN Academy pick
38%54%
Keyd Stars · 4 mapsedge paiN Academy +16%paiN Academy · 9 maps
NukepaiN Academy ban
56%43%
Keyd Stars · 5 mapsedge Keyd Stars +13%paiN Academy · 3 maps
AncientpaiN Academy ban
50%50%
Keyd Stars · 6 mapsnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 0 maps
Anubispossible decider
67%50%
Keyd Stars · 2 mapsedge Keyd Stars +17%paiN Academy · 4 maps
OverpassKeyd Stars ban
50%43%
Keyd Stars · 2 mapsedge Keyd Stars +7%paiN Academy · 3 maps
DefaultKeyd Stars ban
60%50%
Keyd Stars · 1 mapedge Keyd Stars +10%paiN Academy · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKeyd Stars remove Overpass
2. BanpaiN Academy remove Ancient
3. PickKeyd Stars take Dust2
4. PickpaiN Academy take Mirage
5. BanpaiN Academy remove Nuke
6. BanKeyd Stars remove Default
DeciderAnubis (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:2
Keyd Stars 75%paiN Academy 25%
The model gave 75% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by Keyd Stars.
Anubisprediction missed10:13
Keyd Stars 64%paiN Academy 36%
The model gave 64% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Mirageprediction missed13:10
Keyd Stars 34%paiN Academy 66%
The model gave 66% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by Keyd Stars.
Model check result
Model favoriteKeyd Stars · 68%
Series resultKeyd Stars 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3