CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Keyd Stars#120 in the world · win 2:1series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:1
paiN Academy#182 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Keyd Stars pick
56%50%
Keyd Stars · 5 mapsedge Keyd Stars +6%paiN Academy · 4 maps
MirageKeyd Stars ban
40%45%
Keyd Stars · 1 mapedge paiN Academy +5%paiN Academy · 7 maps
AncientpaiN Academy ban
50%50%
Keyd Stars · 4 mapsnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 0 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%33%
Keyd Stars · 2 mapsedge Keyd Stars +17%paiN Academy · 2 maps
OverpasspaiN Academy ban
60%33%
Keyd Stars · 1 mapedge Keyd Stars +27%paiN Academy · 2 maps
AnubisKeyd Stars ban
50%50%
Keyd Stars · 0 mapsnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 2 maps
DefaultpaiN Academy pick
60%60%
Keyd Stars · 1 mapnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKeyd Stars remove Mirage
2. BanpaiN Academy remove Ancient
3. PickKeyd Stars take Dust2
4. PickpaiN Academy take Default
5. BanpaiN Academy remove Overpass
6. BanKeyd Stars remove Anubis
DeciderNuke (50% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:2
Keyd Stars 58%paiN Academy 42%
The model gave 58% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by Keyd Stars.
Anubisprediction correct10:13
Keyd Stars 47%paiN Academy 53%
The model gave 53% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Mirageprediction missed13:10
Keyd Stars 44%paiN Academy 56%
The model gave 56% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by Keyd Stars.
Model check result
Model favoriteKeyd Stars · 59%
Series resultKeyd Stars 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3