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CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
fnatic#36 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ALGO#146 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisALGO pick
44%40%
fnatic · 5 mapsnearly even +4%ALGO · 6 maps
MirageALGO ban
55%29%
fnatic · 7 mapsedge fnatic +26%ALGO · 3 maps
Infernofnatic pick
67%63%
fnatic · 5 mapsnearly even +4%ALGO · 4 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%57%
fnatic · 2 mapsedge ALGO +7%ALGO · 3 maps
Nukefnatic ban
50%50%
fnatic · 0 mapsnearly even +0%ALGO · 4 maps
Dust2ALGO ban
43%50%
fnatic · 3 mapsedge ALGO +7%ALGO · 0 maps
Overpassfnatic ban
50%33%
fnatic · 0 mapsedge fnatic +17%ALGO · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banfnatic remove Nuke
2. BanALGO remove Mirage
3. Pickfnatic take Inferno
4. PickALGO take Anubis
5. BanALGO remove Dust2
6. Banfnatic remove Overpass
DeciderAncient (50% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
fnatic 58%ALGO 42%
The model gave 58% on fnatic — the map was taken by fnatic.
Anubisprediction correct16:13
fnatic 52%ALGO 48%
The model gave 52% on fnatic — the map was taken by fnatic.
Model check result
Model favoritefnatic · 76%
Series resultfnatic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2