CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
fnatic#38 in the world · win 2:0series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ALGO#147 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Anubisfnatic pick
43%50%
fnatic · 3 mapsedge ALGO +7%ALGO · 4 maps
InfernoALGO pick
60%63%
fnatic · 1 mapnearly even -3%ALGO · 4 maps
MirageALGO ban
67%33%
fnatic · 2 mapsedge fnatic +34%ALGO · 2 maps
Ancientfnatic ban
50%57%
fnatic · 0 mapsedge ALGO +7%ALGO · 3 maps
Nukefnatic ban
50%57%
fnatic · 0 mapsedge ALGO +7%ALGO · 3 maps
Dust2ALGO ban
50%50%
fnatic · 2 mapsnearly even +0%ALGO · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banfnatic remove Nuke
2. BanALGO remove Mirage
3. Pickfnatic take Anubis
4. PickALGO take Inferno
5. BanALGO remove Dust2
6. Banfnatic remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
fnatic 50%ALGO 50%
The model gave 50% on fnatic — the map was taken by fnatic.
Anubisprediction missed16:13
fnatic 40%ALGO 60%
The model gave 60% on ALGO — the map was taken by fnatic.
Model check result
Model favoritefnatic · 76%
Series resultfnatic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2