CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#96 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SPARTA pick
53%43%
SPARTA · 11 mapsedge SPARTA +10%Just Players · 3 maps
NukeSPARTA ban
60%56%
SPARTA · 6 mapsnearly even +4%Just Players · 5 maps
MirageJust Players pick
36%50%
SPARTA · 7 mapsedge Just Players +14%Just Players · 2 maps
AncientSPARTA ban
33%50%
SPARTA · 5 mapsedge Just Players +17%Just Players · 2 maps
InfernoJust Players ban
50%50%
SPARTA · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Just Players · 0 maps
Overpasspossible decider
57%60%
SPARTA · 3 mapsnearly even -3%Just Players · 1 map
DefaultJust Players ban
40%40%
SPARTA · 1 mapnearly even +0%Just Players · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Ancient
2. BanJust Players remove Inferno
3. PickSPARTA take Dust2
4. PickJust Players take Mirage
5. BanJust Players remove Default
6. BanSPARTA remove Nuke
DeciderOverpass (57% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct3:13
SPARTA 34%Just Players 66%
The model gave 66% on Just Players — the map was taken by Just Players.
Overpassprediction missed20:22
SPARTA 50%Just Players 50%
The model gave 50% on SPARTA — the map was taken by Just Players.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPARTA · 70%
Series resultJust Players 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2