CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#102 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeJust Players pick
60%67%
SPARTA · 1 mapedge Just Players +7%Just Players · 2 maps
Dust2SPARTA pick
40%60%
SPARTA · 1 mapedge Just Players +20%Just Players · 1 map
MirageJust Players ban
40%60%
SPARTA · 1 mapedge Just Players +20%Just Players · 1 map
AncientSPARTA ban
50%40%
SPARTA · 0 mapsedge SPARTA +10%Just Players · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Ancient
2. BanJust Players remove Mirage
3. PickSPARTA take Dust2
4. PickJust Players take Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct3:13
SPARTA 28%Just Players 72%
The model gave 72% on Just Players — the map was taken by Just Players.
Overpassprediction missed20:22
SPARTA 53%Just Players 47%
The model gave 53% on SPARTA — the map was taken by Just Players.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPARTA · 69%
Series resultJust Players 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2