BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BESTIA Academy#199 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientex-KRÜ pick
40%50%
ex-KRÜ · 1 mapedge BESTIA Academy +10%BESTIA Academy · 0 maps
DefaultBESTIA Academy pick
50%60%
ex-KRÜ · 0 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +10%BESTIA Academy · 1 map
Dust2BESTIA Academy ban
40%50%
ex-KRÜ · 1 mapedge BESTIA Academy +10%BESTIA Academy · 0 maps
Infernoex-KRÜ ban
50%60%
ex-KRÜ · 0 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +10%BESTIA Academy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-KRÜ remove Inferno
2. BanBESTIA Academy remove Dust2
3. Pickex-KRÜ take Ancient
4. PickBESTIA Academy take Default
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct4:13
ex-KRÜ 37%BESTIA Academy 63%
The model gave 63% on BESTIA Academy — the map was taken by BESTIA Academy.
Nukeprediction correct19:17
ex-KRÜ 53%BESTIA Academy 47%
The model gave 53% on ex-KRÜ — the map was taken by ex-KRÜ.
Dust2prediction missed19:17
ex-KRÜ 40%BESTIA Academy 60%
The model gave 60% on BESTIA Academy — the map was taken by ex-KRÜ.
Model check result
Model favoriteBESTIA Academy · 57%
Series resultex-KRÜ 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3