CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vasco#232 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:1
METANOIA Wolves#210 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2METANOIA Wolves pick
40%50%
Vasco · 6 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +10%METANOIA Wolves · 4 maps
Ancientpossible decider
67%50%
Vasco · 2 mapsedge Vasco +17%METANOIA Wolves · 4 maps
InfernoVasco pick
50%50%
Vasco · 6 mapsnearly even +0%METANOIA Wolves · 0 maps
DefaultVasco ban
43%50%
Vasco · 3 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +7%METANOIA Wolves · 2 maps
MirageMETANOIA Wolves ban
44%50%
Vasco · 5 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +6%METANOIA Wolves · 0 maps
AnubisMETANOIA Wolves ban
40%40%
Vasco · 1 mapnearly even +0%METANOIA Wolves · 1 map
NukeVasco ban
50%50%
Vasco · 0 mapsnearly even +0%METANOIA Wolves · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVasco remove Nuke
2. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Mirage
3. PickVasco take Inferno
4. PickMETANOIA Wolves take Dust2
5. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Anubis
6. BanVasco remove Default
DeciderAncient (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Vasco 43%METANOIA Wolves 57%
The model gave 57% on METANOIA Wolves — the map was taken by METANOIA Wolves.
Model check result
Model favoriteMETANOIA Wolves · 51%
Series resultMETANOIA Wolves 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1