CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vasco#133 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:1
METANOIA Wolves#197 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Vasco pick
50%40%
Vasco · 2 mapsedge Vasco +10%METANOIA Wolves · 1 map
InfernoMETANOIA Wolves ban
43%50%
Vasco · 3 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +7%METANOIA Wolves · 0 maps
MirageMETANOIA Wolves ban
33%50%
Vasco · 2 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +17%METANOIA Wolves · 0 maps
AncientMETANOIA Wolves pick
50%60%
Vasco · 0 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +10%METANOIA Wolves · 1 map
DefaultVasco ban
40%50%
Vasco · 1 mapedge METANOIA Wolves +10%METANOIA Wolves · 0 maps
NukeVasco ban
50%40%
Vasco · 0 mapsedge Vasco +10%METANOIA Wolves · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVasco remove Nuke
2. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Mirage
3. PickVasco take Dust2
4. PickMETANOIA Wolves take Ancient
5. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Inferno
6. BanVasco remove Default
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Vasco 40%METANOIA Wolves 60%
The model gave 60% on METANOIA Wolves — the map was taken by METANOIA Wolves.
Model check result
Model favoriteMETANOIA Wolves · 51%
Series resultMETANOIA Wolves 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1