PGL Astana 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
FURIA#3 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Falcons#1 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:9
FURIA 47%Falcons 53%
The model gave 53% on Falcons — the map was taken by FURIA.
Nukeprediction missed20:22
FURIA 53%Falcons 47%
The model gave 53% on FURIA — the map was taken by Falcons.
Dust2prediction missed17:19
FURIA 50%Falcons 50%
The model gave 50% on FURIA — the map was taken by Falcons.
Model check result
Model favoriteFURIA · 55%
Series resultFalcons 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3