BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Keyd Stars#155 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Keyd Stars pick
55%50%
Keyd Stars · 7 mapsedge Keyd Stars +5%Fake do Biru · 8 maps
MirageKeyd Stars ban
43%29%
Keyd Stars · 3 mapsedge Keyd Stars +14%Fake do Biru · 3 maps
NukeFake do Biru pick
50%67%
Keyd Stars · 4 mapsedge Fake do Biru +17%Fake do Biru · 2 maps
AnubisFake do Biru ban
67%50%
Keyd Stars · 2 mapsedge Keyd Stars +17%Fake do Biru · 2 maps
AncientFake do Biru ban
57%50%
Keyd Stars · 3 mapsedge Keyd Stars +7%Fake do Biru · 0 maps
InfernoKeyd Stars ban
50%57%
Keyd Stars · 0 mapsedge Fake do Biru +7%Fake do Biru · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%60%
Keyd Stars · 1 mapnearly even +0%Fake do Biru · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKeyd Stars remove Inferno
2. BanFake do Biru remove Ancient
3. PickKeyd Stars take Dust2
4. PickFake do Biru take Nuke
5. BanFake do Biru remove Anubis
6. BanKeyd Stars remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed6:13
Keyd Stars 68%Fake do Biru 32%
The model gave 68% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by Fake do Biru.
Dust2prediction missed10:13
Keyd Stars 52%Fake do Biru 48%
The model gave 52% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by Fake do Biru.
Model check result
Model favoriteFake do Biru · 58%
Series resultFake do Biru 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2