BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Keyd Stars#117 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Keyd Stars pick
40%50%
Keyd Stars · 1 mapedge Fake do Biru +10%Fake do Biru · 2 maps
DefaultKeyd Stars ban
60%60%
Keyd Stars · 1 mapnearly even +0%Fake do Biru · 1 map
AncientFake do Biru ban
60%50%
Keyd Stars · 1 mapedge Keyd Stars +10%Fake do Biru · 0 maps
InfernoKeyd Stars ban
50%60%
Keyd Stars · 0 mapsedge Fake do Biru +10%Fake do Biru · 1 map
MirageFake do Biru ban
50%40%
Keyd Stars · 0 mapsedge Keyd Stars +10%Fake do Biru · 1 map
NukeFake do Biru pick
40%50%
Keyd Stars · 1 mapedge Fake do Biru +10%Fake do Biru · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKeyd Stars remove Inferno
2. BanFake do Biru remove Ancient
3. PickKeyd Stars take Dust2
4. PickFake do Biru take Nuke
5. BanFake do Biru remove Mirage
6. BanKeyd Stars remove Default
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed6:13
Keyd Stars 63%Fake do Biru 37%
The model gave 63% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by Fake do Biru.
Dust2prediction correct10:13
Keyd Stars 37%Fake do Biru 63%
The model gave 63% on Fake do Biru — the map was taken by Fake do Biru.
Model check result
Model favoriteFake do Biru · 58%
Series resultFake do Biru 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2