NODWIN Clutch Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
TDK#86 in the world · win 2:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:1
MOUZ NXT#132 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct8:13
TDK 47%MOUZ NXT 53%
The model gave 53% on MOUZ NXT — the map was taken by MOUZ NXT.
Overpassprediction correct13:6
TDK 53%MOUZ NXT 47%
The model gave 53% on TDK — the map was taken by TDK.
Dust2prediction correct13:1
TDK 50%MOUZ NXT 50%
The model gave 50% on TDK — the map was taken by TDK.
Model check result
Model favoriteTDK · 55%
Series resultTDK 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3