IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM#14 in the world · win 2:1series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:1
paiN#29 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BETBOOM ban
60%67%
BETBOOM · 1 mapedge paiN +7%paiN · 2 maps
NukeBETBOOM pick
67%60%
BETBOOM · 2 mapsedge BETBOOM +7%paiN · 1 map
AnubispaiN pick
60%60%
BETBOOM · 1 mapnearly even +0%paiN · 1 map
OverpasspaiN ban
40%40%
BETBOOM · 1 mapnearly even +0%paiN · 1 map
MiragepaiN ban
40%50%
BETBOOM · 1 mapedge paiN +10%paiN · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBETBOOM remove Dust2
2. BanpaiN remove Overpass
3. PickBETBOOM take Nuke
4. PickpaiN take Anubis
5. BanpaiN remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:11
BETBOOM 46%paiN 54%
The model gave 54% on paiN — the map was taken by BETBOOM.
Nukeprediction missed6:13
BETBOOM 54%paiN 46%
The model gave 54% on BETBOOM — the map was taken by paiN.
Anubisprediction correct13:5
BETBOOM 50%paiN 50%
The model gave 50% on BETBOOM — the map was taken by BETBOOM.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM · 58%
Series resultBETBOOM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3