IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
BetBoom#22 in the world · win 2:1series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:1
paiN#32 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeBetBoom pick
60%60%
BetBoom · 1 mapnearly even +0%paiN · 1 map
OverpasspaiN pick
40%40%
BetBoom · 1 mapnearly even +0%paiN · 1 map
AnubispaiN ban
60%50%
BetBoom · 1 mapedge BetBoom +10%paiN · 0 maps
Dust2BetBoom ban
50%60%
BetBoom · 0 mapsedge paiN +10%paiN · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBetBoom remove Dust2
2. BanpaiN remove Anubis
3. PickBetBoom take Nuke
4. PickpaiN take Overpass
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:11
BetBoom 43%paiN 57%
The model gave 57% on paiN — the map was taken by BetBoom.
Nukeprediction correct6:13
BetBoom 47%paiN 53%
The model gave 53% on paiN — the map was taken by paiN.
Anubisprediction correct13:5
BetBoom 60%paiN 40%
The model gave 60% on BetBoom — the map was taken by BetBoom.
Model check result
Model favoriteBetBoom · 58%
Series resultBetBoom 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3