BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bounty Hunters#68 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageBounty Hunters pick
60%60%
Bounty Hunters · 1 mapnearly even +0%Fake do Biru · 1 map
AncientFake do Biru ban
60%50%
Bounty Hunters · 1 mapedge Bounty Hunters +10%Fake do Biru · 0 maps
AnubisFake do Biru pick
40%50%
Bounty Hunters · 1 mapedge Fake do Biru +10%Fake do Biru · 0 maps
Dust2Bounty Hunters ban
50%60%
Bounty Hunters · 0 mapsedge Fake do Biru +10%Fake do Biru · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBounty Hunters remove Dust2
2. BanFake do Biru remove Ancient
3. PickBounty Hunters take Mirage
4. PickFake do Biru take Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct3:13
Bounty Hunters 37%Fake do Biru 63%
The model gave 63% on Fake do Biru — the map was taken by Fake do Biru.
Nukeprediction missed5:13
Bounty Hunters 53%Fake do Biru 47%
The model gave 53% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by Fake do Biru.
Model check result
Model favoriteFake do Biru · 51%
Series resultFake do Biru 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2