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BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bounty Hunters#66 in the world · loss 0:2
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Fake do Biru#86 in the world · win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Fake do Biru pick
57%57%
Bounty Hunters · 3 mapsnearly even +0%Fake do Biru · 3 maps
MirageBounty Hunters pick
57%50%
Bounty Hunters · 3 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +7%Fake do Biru · 2 maps
AncientFake do Biru ban
50%50%
Bounty Hunters · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Fake do Biru · 0 maps
AnubisFake do Biru ban
43%50%
Bounty Hunters · 3 mapsedge Fake do Biru +7%Fake do Biru · 0 maps
Nukepossible decider
71%50%
Bounty Hunters · 3 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +21%Fake do Biru · 0 maps
DefaultBounty Hunters ban
50%60%
Bounty Hunters · 0 mapsedge Fake do Biru +10%Fake do Biru · 1 map
InfernoBounty Hunters ban
50%60%
Bounty Hunters · 0 mapsedge Fake do Biru +10%Fake do Biru · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBounty Hunters remove Inferno
2. BanFake do Biru remove Ancient
3. PickBounty Hunters take Mirage
4. PickFake do Biru take Dust2
5. BanFake do Biru remove Anubis
6. BanBounty Hunters remove Default
DeciderNuke (71% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct3:13
Bounty Hunters 47%Fake do Biru 53%
The model gave 53% on Fake do Biru — the map was taken by Fake do Biru.
Nukeprediction missed5:13
Bounty Hunters 74%Fake do Biru 26%
The model gave 74% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by Fake do Biru.
Model check result
Model favoriteBounty Hunters · 55%
Series resultFake do Biru 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2