CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 2:0
fnatic#36 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLavked pick
68%50%
Lavked · 15 mapsedge Lavked +18%fnatic · 4 maps
Nukefnatic ban
61%50%
Lavked · 14 mapsedge Lavked +11%fnatic · 0 maps
Dust2Lavked ban
44%40%
Lavked · 12 mapsnearly even +4%fnatic · 1 map
Infernofnatic pick
31%63%
Lavked · 9 mapsedge fnatic +32%fnatic · 4 maps
Ancientpossible decider
77%50%
Lavked · 9 mapsedge Lavked +27%fnatic · 2 maps
AnubisLavked ban
40%60%
Lavked · 1 mapedge fnatic +20%fnatic · 1 map
Overpassfnatic ban
60%50%
Lavked · 1 mapedge Lavked +10%fnatic · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Anubis
2. Banfnatic remove Nuke
3. PickLavked take Mirage
4. Pickfnatic take Inferno
5. Banfnatic remove Overpass
6. BanLavked remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (77% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:7
Lavked 28%fnatic 72%
The model gave 72% on fnatic — the map was taken by Lavked.
Mirageprediction correct13:11
Lavked 71%fnatic 29%
The model gave 71% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Model check result
Model favoritefnatic · 67%
Series resultLavked 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2