CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
fnatic#42 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientfnatic ban
67%50%
Lavked · 2 mapsedge Lavked +17%fnatic · 0 maps
Miragefnatic pick
50%50%
Lavked · 2 mapsnearly even +0%fnatic · 0 maps
NukeLavked pick
50%50%
Lavked · 2 mapsnearly even +0%fnatic · 0 maps
InfernoLavked ban
40%50%
Lavked · 1 mapedge fnatic +10%fnatic · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Inferno
2. Banfnatic remove Ancient
3. PickLavked take Nuke
4. Pickfnatic take Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:7
Lavked 47%fnatic 53%
The model gave 53% on fnatic — the map was taken by Lavked.
Mirageprediction correct13:11
Lavked 53%fnatic 47%
The model gave 53% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Model check result
Model favoriteLavked · 51%
Series resultLavked 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2