IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
FaZe#13 in the world · win 2:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NRG#27 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientFaZe ban
50%40%
FaZe · 0 mapsedge FaZe +10%NRG · 1 map
OverpassNRG ban
50%40%
FaZe · 0 mapsedge FaZe +10%NRG · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFaZe remove Ancient
2. BanNRG remove Overpass
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:3
FaZe 57%NRG 43%
The model gave 57% on FaZe — the map was taken by FaZe.
Nukeprediction correct13:11
FaZe 53%NRG 47%
The model gave 53% on FaZe — the map was taken by FaZe.
Model check result
Model favoriteFaZe · 60%
Series resultFaZe 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2