IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
FaZe#14 in the world · win 2:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NRG#30 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientFaZe ban
29%50%
FaZe · 3 mapsedge NRG +21%NRG · 2 maps
Dust2NRG ban
50%50%
FaZe · 4 mapsnearly even +0%NRG · 0 maps
MirageNRG pick
50%60%
FaZe · 2 mapsedge NRG +10%NRG · 1 map
Anubispossible decider
33%50%
FaZe · 2 mapsedge NRG +17%NRG · 0 maps
InfernoFaZe ban
50%50%
FaZe · 0 mapsnearly even +0%NRG · 2 maps
OverpassNRG ban
50%33%
FaZe · 0 mapsedge FaZe +17%NRG · 2 maps
NukeFaZe pick
60%50%
FaZe · 1 mapedge FaZe +10%NRG · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFaZe remove Inferno
2. BanNRG remove Dust2
3. PickFaZe take Nuke
4. PickNRG take Mirage
5. BanNRG remove Overpass
6. BanFaZe remove Ancient
DeciderAnubis (33% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:3
FaZe 26%NRG 74%
The model gave 74% on NRG — the map was taken by FaZe.
Nukeprediction correct13:11
FaZe 63%NRG 37%
The model gave 63% on FaZe — the map was taken by FaZe.
Model check result
Model favoriteFaZe · 66%
Series resultFaZe 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2