PGL Astana 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
The Huns#123 in the world · win 2:0series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Fisher College#85 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientFisher College pick
33%40%
The Huns · 2 mapsedge Fisher College +7%Fisher College · 6 maps
DefaultThe Huns pick
71%60%
The Huns · 3 mapsedge The Huns +11%Fisher College · 1 map
InfernoFisher College ban
50%38%
The Huns · 0 mapsedge The Huns +12%Fisher College · 4 maps
Miragepossible decider
40%29%
The Huns · 1 mapedge The Huns +11%Fisher College · 3 maps
NukeThe Huns ban
33%33%
The Huns · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Fisher College · 2 maps
Dust2Fisher College ban
29%50%
The Huns · 3 mapsedge Fisher College +21%Fisher College · 0 maps
AnubisThe Huns ban
50%60%
The Huns · 0 mapsedge Fisher College +10%Fisher College · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanThe Huns remove Anubis
2. BanFisher College remove Dust2
3. PickThe Huns take Default
4. PickFisher College take Ancient
5. BanFisher College remove Inferno
6. BanThe Huns remove Nuke
DeciderMirage (40% / 29%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
The Huns 47%Fisher College 53%
The model gave 53% on Fisher College — the map was taken by The Huns.
Infernoprediction correct13:6
The Huns 65%Fisher College 35%
The model gave 65% on The Huns — the map was taken by The Huns.
Model check result
Model favoriteFisher College · 69%
Series resultThe Huns 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2