PGL Astana 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
The Huns#99 in the world · win 2:0series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Fisher College#47 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientFisher College ban
40%33%
The Huns · 1 mapedge The Huns +7%Fisher College · 2 maps
Dust2The Huns ban
33%50%
The Huns · 2 mapsedge Fisher College +17%Fisher College · 0 maps
InfernoFisher College ban
50%40%
The Huns · 0 mapsedge The Huns +10%Fisher College · 1 map
MirageThe Huns pick
50%40%
The Huns · 0 mapsedge The Huns +10%Fisher College · 1 map
NukeFisher College pick
40%50%
The Huns · 1 mapedge Fisher College +10%Fisher College · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanThe Huns remove Dust2
2. BanFisher College remove Ancient
3. PickThe Huns take Mirage
4. PickFisher College take Nuke
5. BanFisher College remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
The Huns 37%Fisher College 63%
The model gave 63% on Fisher College — the map was taken by The Huns.
Infernoprediction correct13:6
The Huns 63%Fisher College 37%
The model gave 63% on The Huns — the map was taken by The Huns.
Model check result
Model favoriteFisher College · 69%
Series resultThe Huns 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2