PGL Astana 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
HEROIC#24 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gentle Mates#36 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct4:13
HEROIC 47%Gentle Mates 53%
The model gave 53% on Gentle Mates — the map was taken by Gentle Mates.
Mirageprediction missed6:13
HEROIC 53%Gentle Mates 47%
The model gave 53% on HEROIC — the map was taken by Gentle Mates.
Model check result
Model favoriteHEROIC · 51%
Series resultGentle Mates 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2