IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Liquid#24 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Astralis#9 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed4:13
Liquid 53%Astralis 47%
The model gave 53% on Liquid — the map was taken by Astralis.
Ancientprediction correct11:13
Liquid 47%Astralis 53%
The model gave 53% on Astralis — the map was taken by Astralis.
Model check result
Model favoriteAstralis · 51%
Series resultAstralis 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2