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Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
TYLOO#23 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
5star#97 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageTYLOO ban
60%50%
TYLOO · 1 mapedge TYLOO +10%5star · 0 maps
Nuke5star ban
60%50%
TYLOO · 1 mapedge TYLOO +10%5star · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTYLOO remove Mirage
2. Ban5star remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct13:11
TYLOO 53%5star 47%
The model gave 53% on TYLOO — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Ancientprediction missed13:9
TYLOO 47%5star 53%
The model gave 53% on 5star — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Model check result
Model favoriteTYLOO · 66%
Series resultTYLOO 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2