Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
5star#35 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
33%60%
TYLOO · 5 mapsedge 5star +27%5star · 1 map
InfernoTYLOO pick
71%67%
TYLOO · 3 mapsnearly even +4%5star · 2 maps
Mirage5star ban
78%50%
TYLOO · 5 mapsedge TYLOO +28%5star · 0 maps
NukeTYLOO ban
57%60%
TYLOO · 3 mapsnearly even -3%5star · 1 map
Anubis5star pick
50%50%
TYLOO · 0 mapsnearly even +0%5star · 2 maps
Dust2TYLOO ban
50%50%
TYLOO · 0 mapsnearly even +0%5star · 2 maps
Overpass5star ban
67%50%
TYLOO · 2 mapsedge TYLOO +17%5star · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTYLOO remove Dust2
2. Ban5star remove Mirage
3. PickTYLOO take Inferno
4. Pick5star take Anubis
5. Ban5star remove Overpass
6. BanTYLOO remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (33% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct13:11
TYLOO 69%5star 31%
The model gave 69% on TYLOO — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Ancientprediction missed13:9
TYLOO 23%5star 77%
The model gave 77% on 5star — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Model check result
Model favoriteTYLOO · 79%
Series resultTYLOO 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2