BC Game Masters Europe Season 2 Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Walczaki#58 in the world · win 2:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Nemiga#51 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct14:16
Walczaki 47%Nemiga 53%
The model gave 53% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Nukeprediction correct13:9
Walczaki 53%Nemiga 47%
The model gave 53% on Walczaki — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Anubisprediction correct13:7
Walczaki 50%Nemiga 50%
The model gave 50% on Walczaki — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 51%
Series resultWalczaki 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3