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Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Ground Zero#139 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Rare Atom#105 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoGround Zero pick
67%50%
Ground Zero · 2 mapsedge Ground Zero +17%Rare Atom · 4 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%33%
Ground Zero · 4 mapsedge Ground Zero +17%Rare Atom · 2 maps
Dust2Rare Atom pick
40%63%
Ground Zero · 1 mapedge Rare Atom +23%Rare Atom · 4 maps
AnubisRare Atom ban
33%50%
Ground Zero · 2 mapsedge Rare Atom +17%Rare Atom · 2 maps
NukeRare Atom ban
50%50%
Ground Zero · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Rare Atom · 0 maps
AncientGround Zero ban
50%67%
Ground Zero · 0 mapsedge Rare Atom +17%Rare Atom · 2 maps
DefaultGround Zero ban
50%60%
Ground Zero · 0 mapsedge Rare Atom +10%Rare Atom · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGround Zero remove Ancient
2. BanRare Atom remove Nuke
3. PickGround Zero take Inferno
4. PickRare Atom take Dust2
5. BanRare Atom remove Anubis
6. BanGround Zero remove Default
DeciderMirage (50% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed3:13
Ground Zero 69%Rare Atom 31%
The model gave 69% on Ground Zero — the map was taken by Rare Atom.
Dust2prediction missed13:5
Ground Zero 26%Rare Atom 74%
The model gave 74% on Rare Atom — the map was taken by Ground Zero.
Anubisprediction missed13:8
Ground Zero 33%Rare Atom 67%
The model gave 67% on Rare Atom — the map was taken by Ground Zero.
Model check result
Model favoriteRare Atom · 61%
Series resultGround Zero 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3