Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Ground Zero#155 in the world · win 2:1series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:1
RARare Atom#98 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisGround Zero ban
50%60%
Ground Zero · 0 mapsedge Rare Atom +10%Rare Atom · 1 map
Dust2Rare Atom pick
50%40%
Ground Zero · 0 mapsedge Ground Zero +10%Rare Atom · 1 map
InfernoGround Zero pick
50%40%
Ground Zero · 0 mapsedge Ground Zero +10%Rare Atom · 1 map
MirageRare Atom ban
40%50%
Ground Zero · 1 mapedge Rare Atom +10%Rare Atom · 0 maps
NukeRare Atom ban
40%50%
Ground Zero · 1 mapedge Rare Atom +10%Rare Atom · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGround Zero remove Anubis
2. BanRare Atom remove Nuke
3. PickGround Zero take Inferno
4. PickRare Atom take Dust2
5. BanRare Atom remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed3:13
Ground Zero 63%Rare Atom 37%
The model gave 63% on Ground Zero — the map was taken by Rare Atom.
Dust2prediction correct13:5
Ground Zero 57%Rare Atom 43%
The model gave 57% on Ground Zero — the map was taken by Ground Zero.
Anubisprediction missed13:8
Ground Zero 40%Rare Atom 60%
The model gave 60% on Rare Atom — the map was taken by Ground Zero.
Model check result
Model favoriteRare Atom · 52%
Series resultGround Zero 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3