CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#102 in the world · win 2:1series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Oxuji#167 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultSPARTA ban
50%60%
SPARTA · 0 mapsedge Oxuji +10%Oxuji · 1 map
Dust2Oxuji ban
50%60%
SPARTA · 0 mapsedge Oxuji +10%Oxuji · 1 map
NukeSPARTA pick
50%60%
SPARTA · 0 mapsedge Oxuji +10%Oxuji · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Default
2. BanOxuji remove Dust2
3. PickSPARTA take Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct10:13
SPARTA 37%Oxuji 63%
The model gave 63% on Oxuji — the map was taken by Oxuji.
Infernoprediction correct13:6
SPARTA 53%Oxuji 47%
The model gave 53% on SPARTA — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Dust2prediction missed13:5
SPARTA 40%Oxuji 60%
The model gave 60% on Oxuji — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Model check result
Model favoriteOxuji · 55%
Series resultSPARTA 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3