CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#96 in the world · win 2:1series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Oxuji#173 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SPARTA pick
50%44%
SPARTA · 6 mapsedge SPARTA +6%Oxuji · 5 maps
Miragepossible decider
40%50%
SPARTA · 6 mapsedge Oxuji +10%Oxuji · 2 maps
NukeOxuji pick
57%78%
SPARTA · 3 mapsedge Oxuji +21%Oxuji · 5 maps
AncientSPARTA ban
29%67%
SPARTA · 3 mapsedge Oxuji +38%Oxuji · 2 maps
DefaultSPARTA ban
40%75%
SPARTA · 1 mapedge Oxuji +35%Oxuji · 4 maps
InfernoOxuji ban
43%40%
SPARTA · 3 mapsnearly even +3%Oxuji · 1 map
OverpassOxuji ban
57%50%
SPARTA · 3 mapsedge SPARTA +7%Oxuji · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Ancient
2. BanOxuji remove Overpass
3. PickSPARTA take Dust2
4. PickOxuji take Nuke
5. BanOxuji remove Inferno
6. BanSPARTA remove Default
DeciderMirage (40% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct10:13
SPARTA 25%Oxuji 75%
The model gave 75% on Oxuji — the map was taken by Oxuji.
Infernoprediction correct13:6
SPARTA 56%Oxuji 44%
The model gave 56% on SPARTA — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Dust2prediction correct13:5
SPARTA 56%Oxuji 44%
The model gave 56% on SPARTA — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPARTA · 61%
Series resultSPARTA 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3