BC Game Masters Europe Season 2 Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga#22 in the world · win 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
CYBERSHOKE#90 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientCYBERSHOKE pick
43%56%
Nemiga · 3 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +13%CYBERSHOKE · 5 maps
MirageNemiga ban
43%56%
Nemiga · 3 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +13%CYBERSHOKE · 5 maps
Dust2Nemiga ban
40%60%
Nemiga · 1 mapedge CYBERSHOKE +20%CYBERSHOKE · 6 maps
OverpassCYBERSHOKE ban
75%33%
Nemiga · 4 mapsedge Nemiga +42%CYBERSHOKE · 2 maps
NukeNemiga pick
71%60%
Nemiga · 3 mapsedge Nemiga +11%CYBERSHOKE · 1 map
AnubisCYBERSHOKE ban
50%50%
Nemiga · 2 mapsnearly even +0%CYBERSHOKE · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemiga remove Dust2
2. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Overpass
3. PickNemiga take Nuke
4. PickCYBERSHOKE take Ancient
5. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Anubis
6. BanNemiga remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct13:5
Nemiga 87%CYBERSHOKE 13%
The model gave 87% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Mirageprediction missed13:6
Nemiga 35%CYBERSHOKE 65%
The model gave 65% on CYBERSHOKE — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 69%
Series resultNemiga 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2