CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Walczaki#83 in the world · win 2:1series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-RUBY ban
60%60%
Walczaki · 1 mapnearly even +0%ex-RUBY · 1 map
AnubisWalczaki pick
60%50%
Walczaki · 1 mapedge Walczaki +10%ex-RUBY · 0 maps
Infernoex-RUBY ban
40%50%
Walczaki · 1 mapedge ex-RUBY +10%ex-RUBY · 0 maps
Mirageex-RUBY pick
50%60%
Walczaki · 0 mapsedge ex-RUBY +10%ex-RUBY · 1 map
OverpassWalczaki ban
50%40%
Walczaki · 0 mapsedge Walczaki +10%ex-RUBY · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWalczaki remove Overpass
2. Banex-RUBY remove Inferno
3. PickWalczaki take Anubis
4. Pickex-RUBY take Mirage
5. Banex-RUBY remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:4
Walczaki 37%ex-RUBY 63%
The model gave 63% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Nukeprediction missed9:13
Walczaki 53%ex-RUBY 47%
The model gave 53% on Walczaki — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
Walczaki 50%ex-RUBY 50%
The model gave 50% on Walczaki — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Model check result
Model favoriteWalczaki · 52%
Series resultWalczaki 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3