CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Walczaki#149 in the world · win 2:1series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeWalczaki pick
77%60%
Walczaki · 9 mapsedge Walczaki +17%ex-RUBY · 1 map
AncientWalczaki ban
67%40%
Walczaki · 5 mapsedge Walczaki +27%ex-RUBY · 1 map
Anubisex-RUBY ban
70%50%
Walczaki · 6 mapsedge Walczaki +20%ex-RUBY · 0 maps
Dust2Walczaki ban
67%71%
Walczaki · 2 mapsnearly even -4%ex-RUBY · 3 maps
Mirageex-RUBY pick
57%67%
Walczaki · 3 mapsedge ex-RUBY +10%ex-RUBY · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
57%50%
Walczaki · 3 mapsedge Walczaki +7%ex-RUBY · 0 maps
Infernoex-RUBY ban
57%50%
Walczaki · 3 mapsedge Walczaki +7%ex-RUBY · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWalczaki remove Dust2
2. Banex-RUBY remove Inferno
3. PickWalczaki take Nuke
4. Pickex-RUBY take Mirage
5. Banex-RUBY remove Anubis
6. BanWalczaki remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (57% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:4
Walczaki 37%ex-RUBY 63%
The model gave 63% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Nukeprediction missed9:13
Walczaki 71%ex-RUBY 29%
The model gave 71% on Walczaki — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
Walczaki 75%ex-RUBY 25%
The model gave 75% on Walczaki — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Model check result
Model favoriteWalczaki · 63%
Series resultWalczaki 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3