ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
THUNDER dOWNUNDER#73 in the worldseries probability
56%44%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Mindfreak#114 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoMindfreak pick
50%53%
THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 4 mapsnearly even -3%Mindfreak · 11 maps
NukeMindfreak ban
38%45%
THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 4 mapsedge Mindfreak +7%Mindfreak · 7 maps
AnubisTHUNDER dOWNUNDER pick
50%38%
THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 4 mapsedge THUNDER dOWNUNDER +12%Mindfreak · 4 maps
Dust2Mindfreak ban
44%40%
THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 5 mapsnearly even +4%Mindfreak · 1 map
MirageTHUNDER dOWNUNDER ban
50%60%
THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 0 mapsedge Mindfreak +10%Mindfreak · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTHUNDER dOWNUNDER remove Mirage
2. BanMindfreak remove Dust2
3. PickTHUNDER dOWNUNDER take Anubis
4. PickMindfreak take Inferno
5. BanMindfreak remove Nuke