CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
HAVU#97 in the world · win 2:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Famalicão#136 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2HAVU pick
40%40%
HAVU · 1 mapnearly even +0%Famalicão · 1 map
MirageFamalicão ban
50%40%
HAVU · 0 mapsedge HAVU +10%Famalicão · 1 map
OverpassHAVU ban
40%50%
HAVU · 1 mapedge Famalicão +10%Famalicão · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHAVU remove Overpass
2. BanFamalicão remove Mirage
3. PickHAVU take Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:5
HAVU 47%Famalicão 53%
The model gave 53% on Famalicão — the map was taken by HAVU.
Mirageprediction correct13:8
HAVU 63%Famalicão 37%
The model gave 63% on HAVU — the map was taken by HAVU.
Model check result
Model favoriteHAVU · 54%
Series resultHAVU 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2