CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
HAVU#107 in the world · win 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Famalicão#153 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Famalicão pick
25%50%
HAVU · 4 mapsedge Famalicão +25%Famalicão · 4 maps
Overpasspossible decider
40%57%
HAVU · 1 mapedge Famalicão +17%Famalicão · 3 maps
MirageFamalicão ban
40%50%
HAVU · 1 mapedge Famalicão +10%Famalicão · 2 maps
NukeFamalicão ban
43%50%
HAVU · 3 mapsedge Famalicão +7%Famalicão · 0 maps
InfernoHAVU ban
50%33%
HAVU · 0 mapsedge HAVU +17%Famalicão · 2 maps
AncientHAVU ban
50%40%
HAVU · 0 mapsedge HAVU +10%Famalicão · 1 map
DefaultHAVU pick
50%60%
HAVU · 0 mapsedge Famalicão +10%Famalicão · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHAVU remove Ancient
2. BanFamalicão remove Nuke
3. PickHAVU take Default
4. PickFamalicão take Dust2
5. BanFamalicão remove Mirage
6. BanHAVU remove Inferno
DeciderOverpass (40% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:5
HAVU 23%Famalicão 77%
The model gave 77% on Famalicão — the map was taken by HAVU.
Mirageprediction missed13:8
HAVU 43%Famalicão 57%
The model gave 57% on Famalicão — the map was taken by HAVU.
Model check result
Model favoriteHAVU · 58%
Series resultHAVU 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2