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NODWIN Clutch Series 8 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Ursa#68 in the world · loss 0:2
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Oxuji#164 in the world · win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct17:19
Ursa 47%Oxuji 53%
The model gave 53% on Oxuji — the map was taken by Oxuji.
Dust2prediction missed17:19
Ursa 53%Oxuji 47%
The model gave 53% on Ursa — the map was taken by Oxuji.
Model check result
Model favoriteUrsa · 59%
Series resultOxuji 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2