BC Game Masters Europe Season 2 Series 1 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The Last Resort#107 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLavked pick
43%50%
Lavked · 3 mapsedge The Last Resort +7%The Last Resort · 0 maps
AncientLavked ban
40%50%
Lavked · 1 mapedge The Last Resort +10%The Last Resort · 0 maps
Dust2The Last Resort ban
60%50%
Lavked · 1 mapedge Lavked +10%The Last Resort · 0 maps
InfernoThe Last Resort pick
40%50%
Lavked · 1 mapedge The Last Resort +10%The Last Resort · 0 maps
NukeThe Last Resort ban
40%50%
Lavked · 1 mapedge The Last Resort +10%The Last Resort · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Ancient
2. BanThe Last Resort remove Dust2
3. PickLavked take Mirage
4. PickThe Last Resort take Inferno
5. BanThe Last Resort remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct3:13
Lavked 37%The Last Resort 63%
The model gave 63% on The Last Resort — the map was taken by The Last Resort.
Dust2prediction correct13:5
Lavked 63%The Last Resort 37%
The model gave 63% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Nukeprediction missed13:11
Lavked 40%The Last Resort 60%
The model gave 60% on The Last Resort — the map was taken by Lavked.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Last Resort · 53%
Series resultLavked 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3