Thunderpick World Championship 2026 · BO3
live · recalculated in real time
9z#17 in the worldseries probability now
20%80%
was 29% pre-match
Aurora#6 in the worldIn live mode the model factors in the current map and round score, team winrate on the maps being played and form. The probability is recalculated as the match unfolds.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
56%60%
9z · 5 mapsnearly even -4%Aurora · 16 maps
NukeAurora pick
33%75%
9z · 8 mapsedge Aurora +42%Aurora · 8 maps
Dust29z pick
50%50%
9z · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Aurora · 8 maps
Anubis9z ban
50%69%
9z · 0 mapsedge Aurora +19%Aurora · 12 maps
CacheAurora ban
50%45%
9z · 4 mapsedge 9z +5%Aurora · 7 maps
Inferno9z ban
29%55%
9z · 3 mapsedge Aurora +26%Aurora · 7 maps
AncientAurora ban
33%40%
9z · 2 mapsedge Aurora +7%Aurora · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban9z remove Anubis
2. BanAurora remove Ancient
3. Pick9z take Dust2
4. PickAurora take Nuke
5. BanAurora remove Cache
6. Ban9z remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (56% / 60%)
Probability by map
For each map in the series — win chance factoring in the round score and historical map winrate over 3 months. Played maps are locked, the current one is recalculated by the score.
Infernonot played · 9z pick— : —
9z 27%Aurora 73%
Historical winrate over 3 months: 9z 29% (3 maps) vs 55% (7 maps) for Aurora.
Nukenot played · Aurora pick— : —
9z 13%Aurora 87%
Historical winrate over 3 months: 9z 33% (8 maps) vs 75% (8 maps) for Aurora.
Dust2not played · decider— : —
9z 50%Aurora 50%
Historical winrate over 3 months: 9z 50% (6 maps) vs 50% (8 maps) for Aurora.