Parken Challenger Championship Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
A Great Chaoswin 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Gatorianloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:8
A Great Chaos 53%Gatorian 47%
The model gave 53% on A Great Chaos — the map was taken by A Great Chaos.
Anubisprediction missed13:11
A Great Chaos 47%Gatorian 53%
The model gave 53% on Gatorian — the map was taken by A Great Chaos.
Model check result
Model favoriteA Great Chaos · 50%
Series resultA Great Chaos 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2