BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
BESTIA Academy#199 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
METANOIA Wolves#127 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BESTIA Academy ban
60%50%
BESTIA Academy · 1 mapedge BESTIA Academy +10%METANOIA Wolves · 0 maps
MirageMETANOIA Wolves ban
60%50%
BESTIA Academy · 1 mapedge BESTIA Academy +10%METANOIA Wolves · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBESTIA Academy remove Dust2
2. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed6:13
BESTIA Academy 57%METANOIA Wolves 43%
The model gave 57% on BESTIA Academy — the map was taken by METANOIA Wolves.
Ancientprediction missed4:13
BESTIA Academy 53%METANOIA Wolves 47%
The model gave 53% on BESTIA Academy — the map was taken by METANOIA Wolves.
Model check result
Model favoriteBESTIA Academy · 52%
Series resultMETANOIA Wolves 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2