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BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
BESTIA Academy#172 in the world · loss 0:2
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:2
METANOIA Wolves#210 in the world · win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientBESTIA Academy pick
50%33%
BESTIA Academy · 4 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +17%METANOIA Wolves · 2 maps
Dust2METANOIA Wolves pick
43%40%
BESTIA Academy · 3 mapsnearly even +3%METANOIA Wolves · 1 map
Infernopossible decider
38%50%
BESTIA Academy · 4 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +12%METANOIA Wolves · 0 maps
DefaultBESTIA Academy ban
50%50%
BESTIA Academy · 0 mapsnearly even +0%METANOIA Wolves · 2 maps
MirageMETANOIA Wolves ban
50%50%
BESTIA Academy · 2 mapsnearly even +0%METANOIA Wolves · 0 maps
AnubisBESTIA Academy ban
50%40%
BESTIA Academy · 0 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +10%METANOIA Wolves · 1 map
NukeMETANOIA Wolves ban
60%50%
BESTIA Academy · 1 mapedge BESTIA Academy +10%METANOIA Wolves · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBESTIA Academy remove Anubis
2. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Mirage
3. PickBESTIA Academy take Ancient
4. PickMETANOIA Wolves take Dust2
5. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Nuke
6. BanBESTIA Academy remove Default
DeciderInferno (38% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
BESTIA Academy 50%METANOIA Wolves 50%
The model gave 50% on METANOIA Wolves — the map was taken by METANOIA Wolves.
Ancientprediction missed4:13
BESTIA Academy 69%METANOIA Wolves 31%
The model gave 69% on BESTIA Academy — the map was taken by METANOIA Wolves.
Model check result
Model favoriteMETANOIA Wolves · 60%
Series resultMETANOIA Wolves 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2