Exort Fiesta Series 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Black Phoenix#94 in the worldseries probability
54%46%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
67%60%
Black Phoenix · 17 mapsedge Black Phoenix +7%ex-Zero Tenacity · 16 maps
Nukeex-Zero Tenacity pick
47%60%
Black Phoenix · 11 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +13%ex-Zero Tenacity · 16 maps
Mirageex-Zero Tenacity ban
41%50%
Black Phoenix · 13 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +9%ex-Zero Tenacity · 8 maps
Infernoex-Zero Tenacity ban
58%50%
Black Phoenix · 8 mapsedge Black Phoenix +8%ex-Zero Tenacity · 6 maps
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
20%38%
Black Phoenix · 6 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +18%ex-Zero Tenacity · 4 maps
CacheBlack Phoenix ban
64%71%
Black Phoenix · 7 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +7%ex-Zero Tenacity · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%63%
Black Phoenix · 4 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +13%ex-Zero Tenacity · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
2. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Inferno
3. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
4. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Nuke
5. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Mirage
6. BanBlack Phoenix remove Cache
DeciderDefault (50% / 63%)