BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Vasco#133 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-KRÜ ban
50%60%
ex-KRÜ · 0 mapsedge Vasco +10%Vasco · 1 map
InfernoVasco ban
50%40%
ex-KRÜ · 0 mapsedge ex-KRÜ +10%Vasco · 1 map
Mirageex-KRÜ pick
50%40%
ex-KRÜ · 0 mapsedge ex-KRÜ +10%Vasco · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-KRÜ remove Dust2
2. BanVasco remove Inferno
3. Pickex-KRÜ take Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:8
ex-KRÜ 37%Vasco 63%
The model gave 63% on Vasco — the map was taken by ex-KRÜ.
Infernoprediction missed17:19
ex-KRÜ 63%Vasco 37%
The model gave 63% on ex-KRÜ — the map was taken by Vasco.
Mirageprediction correct13:10
ex-KRÜ 60%Vasco 40%
The model gave 60% on ex-KRÜ — the map was taken by ex-KRÜ.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-KRÜ · 55%
Series resultex-KRÜ 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3