BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Vasco#232 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Vasco pick
50%44%
ex-KRÜ · 2 mapsedge ex-KRÜ +6%Vasco · 5 maps
Infernoex-KRÜ ban
50%50%
ex-KRÜ · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Vasco · 4 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%50%
ex-KRÜ · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Vasco · 4 maps
Ancientex-KRÜ ban
40%67%
ex-KRÜ · 1 mapedge Vasco +27%Vasco · 2 maps
Defaultex-KRÜ pick
50%50%
ex-KRÜ · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Vasco · 2 maps
NukeVasco ban
50%50%
ex-KRÜ · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Vasco · 0 maps
OverpassVasco ban
40%40%
ex-KRÜ · 1 mapnearly even +0%Vasco · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-KRÜ remove Ancient
2. BanVasco remove Nuke
3. Pickex-KRÜ take Default
4. PickVasco take Dust2
5. BanVasco remove Overpass
6. Banex-KRÜ remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:8
ex-KRÜ 53%Vasco 47%
The model gave 53% on ex-KRÜ — the map was taken by ex-KRÜ.
Infernoprediction missed17:19
ex-KRÜ 53%Vasco 47%
The model gave 53% on ex-KRÜ — the map was taken by Vasco.
Mirageprediction correct13:10
ex-KRÜ 50%Vasco 50%
The model gave 50% on ex-KRÜ — the map was taken by ex-KRÜ.
Model check result
Model favoriteVasco · 52%
Series resultex-KRÜ 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3