PGL Astana 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
FURIA#3 in the world · win 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HEROIC#24 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:4
FURIA 47%HEROIC 53%
The model gave 53% on HEROIC — the map was taken by FURIA.
Infernoprediction correct13:7
FURIA 53%HEROIC 47%
The model gave 53% on FURIA — the map was taken by FURIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteFURIA · 52%
Series resultFURIA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2