BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Galorys#79 in the world · win 2:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientGalorys ban
40%50%
Galorys · 1 mapedge ex-KRÜ +10%ex-KRÜ · 0 maps
Dust2Galorys pick
40%50%
Galorys · 1 mapedge ex-KRÜ +10%ex-KRÜ · 0 maps
Nukeex-KRÜ ban
60%50%
Galorys · 1 mapedge Galorys +10%ex-KRÜ · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGalorys remove Ancient
2. Banex-KRÜ remove Nuke
3. PickGalorys take Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:6
Galorys 37%ex-KRÜ 63%
The model gave 63% on ex-KRÜ — the map was taken by Galorys.
Ancientprediction missed13:3
Galorys 43%ex-KRÜ 57%
The model gave 57% on ex-KRÜ — the map was taken by Galorys.
Model check result
Model favoriteGalorys · 51%
Series resultGalorys 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2